Bitcoin and altcoins saw strong double-digit price rebounds after this week’s brutal sell-off, but do technical charts forecast a longer-term recovery, or is today’s rally just a dead cat bounce?
It started as a joke, but this year, Dogecoin was embraced by institutions, bought up by public companies, and its namesake was shared with a highly controversial U.S. government initiative led by billionaire Elon Musk.
Still, despite this, the original meme coin didn’t set a new all-time high—to the dismay of its diehard fanbase. As of December 15, DOGE has erased any gains made in 2025, falling about 65% over the course of 12 months.
As a result, Dogecoin has had an awkward year; it has moved away from its grassroots ethos without any of the assumed financial benefits. However, Dogecoin builders believe that the project is poised for an explosive 2026.
Here’s a look back at Dogecoin in 2025.
Late in 2024, the Trump administration positioned Musk as the public face of the newly created Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, even though his formal authority within the agency later became a point of dispute.
The department’s goal was to cut government spending as much as possible. This year, the madness continued with Dogecoin somehow at the center of it all.
Minutes after President Trump’s inauguration, the Musk-led department was served a lawsuit by public interest law firm National Security Counselors. The 30-page complaint alleged that DOGE is illegally operating as a federal advisory committee because it was breaking laws set out in the Federal Advisory Committee Act on hiring, disclosures, and other matters.
The next day, the Dogecoin logo appeared on the Department of Government Efficiency website. The meme coin jumped 14% to a market capitalization of $58 billion as a result. The logo was soon removed, prompting the token to dump, with the site becoming a place to track all the government spending cuts that DOGE was apparently making.
Musk even considered using a public blockchain for the agency, according to Bloomberg, though he ruled out using Dogecoin directly. That blockchain implementation never came to fruition.
Once the Department got up and running, the controversy didn’t stop. DOGE wrongly cut an estimated 2,000 healthcare workers, pushed to slash foreign aid that critics argued would damage global health, and it was caught inflating its alleged savings.
Alex Hoffman, the head of ecosystem at Dogecoin application layer DogeOS, told Decrypt that his family thought he was joining Musk’s agency when he said he was working on DOGE.
In reality, he was helping to build a product for Dogecoin. It’s just one example of how Dogecoin was politicized this year by Musk, to the extent that the general public tied the two together.
“Do you know what the Dogecoin community says DOGE stands for? Do Only Good Every Day,” Hoffman explained. “As a community, we have a lot of power to be like DOGE: Do Only Good Every Day. Sure, Elon co-opted it. That’s fine, you know. But the community is very focused on doing positive things.”
The Department of Government Efficiency eventually faded into obscurity, with Musk being pushed away from the U.S. government. That was before Musk ranted that his former bestie, President Trump, is in the Epstein files.
Digital asset treasuries dominated the narrative this year, with a handful of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for altcoins and meme coins also catching headlines. Dogecoin was wrapped up in both of these trends.
In January, REX Shares filed to create an ETF for Dogecoin, with analysts first estimating it could be approved in April, which it wasn’t.
Two months later, the Dogecoin Foundation formed House of Doge to boost Dogecoin adoption through corporate deals. It set aside 10 million DOGE, approximately $1.83 million at the time, for its initiatives.
By June, a publicly traded former cannabis company that had rebranded as Dogecoin Cash made a Dogecoin treasury move by forming a new subsidiary, Dogecoin Treasury Inc. The company wouldn’t clarify its plans when contacted by Decrypt, but its telemedicine platform started accepting Dogecoin for payments months later.
Bitcoin treasury firm Thumzup turned to Dogecoin to diversify its treasury holdings in early July, and later acquired a Dogecoin mining company. That same month, Bitcoin mining firm Bit Origin acquired $10 million in Dogecoin to create a meme coin treasury. Dogecoin’s price has only fallen since those acquisitions.
In September, a new treasury firm stepped forward in CleanCore Solutions, which brought on Elon Musk’s personal lawyer, Alex Spiro, as the chairman of its board of directors.
CleanCore Solutions was touted as the first “official” DOGE treasury due to its connections to the Dogecoin Foundation and the House of Doge. As of December 15, CleanCore held 733.1 million DOGE, or about $90 million worth.
That same month, the first Dogecoin ETF started trading in the United States, and it “destroyed” the expectations of analysts in early trading. In November, the Grayscale ETF debuted with a slow start, followed soon after by Bitwise’s fund.
“The way that I see it is that all of this stuff is good for DOGE on the macro level,” Hoffman said. “What I have learned is that the DOGE community wants validation, and they want utility. Anything that happens around that is enforcing the idea that [Dogecoin] deserves and is getting validation.”
On a similar note, House of Doge went public on the Nasdaq in October through a reverse takeover by Brag House Holdings, a college-focused online gaming business.
The corporate arm of the Dogecoin Foundation then acquired a majority equity stake in European soccer club U.S. Triestina Calcio 1918—then slapped Dogecoin branding on its jerseys and stadium.
Despite all this seemingly bullish news, Dogecoin failed to reach a new all-time high. In fact, it is the only top-10 crypto by market cap to not hit a new peak during the most recent crypto bull run. Was this all in vain?
“Dogecoin remains firmly on a growth trajectory tied to utility rather than speculation,” Timothy Stebbing, director at the Dogecoin Foundation, told Decrypt. “In years past, Dogecoin led the speculative asset pack but has been finding its feet as a utility currency, and as you would expect, that puts it on a different growth path than cryptocurrencies chasing the ‘always-up’ fairytale.”
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1400 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1400.
Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.1420, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1400 and $0.1380 support levels.
The price even traded below $0.1350. A low was formed near $0.1326, and the price recently corrected some losses. There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1530 swing high to the $0.1326 low.
Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.1400 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is a recovery wave, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1380 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1375 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair.
The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.140 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.1425 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1530 swing high to the $0.1326 low. A close above the $0.1425 resistance might send the price toward the $0.1450 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.1500 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1550.
If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.140 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1340 level. The next major support is near the $0.1325 level.
The main support sits at $0.130. If there is a downside break below the $0.130 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.1250 level or even $0.1240 in the near term.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $0.1340 and $0.1300.
Major Resistance Levels – $0.1400 and $0.1420.
Elon Musk effectively confirmed SpaceX will soon go public while saying he would not participate in the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) again — a dual signal of his pivot back to business after a turbulent political chapter.
The remarks came within hours of each other on Tuesday, as Musk endorsed a journalist’s IPO analysis on X and opened up about his government experience in a podcast interview.
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When space journalist Eric Berger posted his analysis titled “Here’s why I think SpaceX is going public soon,” Musk replied: “As usual, Eric is accurate.” Berger is widely regarded as the most reliable reporter covering SpaceX.
Berger, senior space editor at Ars Technica, is widely regarded as the most reliable reporter covering SpaceX. His analysis, backed by Musk’s endorsement, signals a major shift. SpaceX has historically stayed private to avoid quarterly earnings pressures while pursuing long-term projects such as Starship development and Mars exploration.
According to a Bloomberg report, SpaceX is targeting a valuation of approximately $1.5 trillion and aims to raise significantly more than $30 billion. This surpasses Saudi Aramco’s $29 billion 2019 IPO as the largest in history.
The company is pursuing a listing as soon as mid-to-late 2026, though the timeline could slip into 2027 depending on market conditions. In its current secondary offering, SpaceX has set a per-share price of around $420, putting its valuation above $800 billion.
Starlink’s explosive growth fuels the IPO. SpaceX expects to generate about $15 billion in revenue in 2025, rising to $22-24 billion in 2026. The majority of that revenue comes from its satellite internet service. The company plans to use IPO proceeds to develop space-based data centers and purchase AI chips to run them.
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Private company shares are typically restricted to accredited investors and venture capital funds, leaving ordinary investors on the sidelines. This scarcity has fueled demand for alternative access routes, including tokenization.
In June, Robinhood made headlines by offering tokenized SpaceX shares to European users through its EU crypto app. The platform allocated $500,000 worth of SpaceX tokens as part of a promotional giveaway, alongside $1 million in OpenAI tokens. The tokens trade on Arbitrum, an Ethereum layer-2 network.
Meanwhile, in a podcast interview released Tuesday with former DOGE spokeswoman Katie Miller — wife of President Trump’s deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller — Musk was asked if he would do DOGE again.
“No, I don’t think so,” he replied. “I think instead of doing DOGE, I would’ve basically worked on my companies, essentially. And they wouldn’t have been burning the cars.”
The comment referenced vandalism incidents reported at Tesla dealerships and charging stations while Musk was at the helm of DOGE. Working out of a small bureau in the executive office building, Musk led DOGE for several months after Trump returned to office, taking a hatchet to the US federal workforce and agencies.
Musk described his government stint as only “a little bit successful” and “somewhat successful,” a notably modest assessment. “We stopped a lot of funding that really just made no sense, that was entirely wasteful,” he said.
The actual savings from DOGE have been hard to quantify. While the DOGE website currently posts cuts of $214 billion, independent observers insist the figures fall short of actual savings.
Musk broke spectacularly with Trump in June over the White House’s flagship tax and spending bill, which he called “utterly insane and destructive.”
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Zach Anderson
Oct 18, 2025 14:26
DOGE price prediction suggests potential 20-30% upside to $0.21-$0.25 range by year-end, despite current bearish momentum showing oversold conditions near key support levels.
Dogecoin continues to trade in a consolidation phase at $0.19, presenting a compelling setup for price prediction analysis. With mixed technical signals and analyst forecasts ranging from bearish to cautiously optimistic, our comprehensive DOGE price prediction examines multiple scenarios for the coming weeks and months.
• DOGE short-term target (1 week): $0.20-$0.21 (+5-10%) – Testing SMA 7 resistance
• Dogecoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.18-$0.25 range with bias toward upper end
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.23 (SMA 20 resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.17 (Bollinger Band lower boundary)
The latest DOGE price prediction consensus from major analysts shows moderate optimism despite current technical headwinds. CoinCodex leads with the most bullish Dogecoin forecast, projecting $0.249 by May 2025, supported by 87% of technical indicators showing positive signals and a Fear & Greed index reading of 70.
AMB Crypto’s more conservative DOGE price prediction targets $0.20 in the near term, aligning closely with our technical resistance analysis at the SMA 7 level. Meanwhile, 30rates.com and DigitalCoinPrice converge around $0.184-$0.185, suggesting potential short-term weakness before the anticipated recovery.
The divergence in these predictions reflects the current market uncertainty, with Changelly noting 91% bearish indicators despite the underlying bullish sentiment from fundamental factors.
Current Dogecoin technical analysis reveals a compelling oversold setup that typically precedes price reversals. The RSI at 36.54 sits in neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram at -0.0051 confirms bearish momentum is weakening.
The most significant technical factor supporting our DOGE price prediction is Dogecoin’s position within the Bollinger Bands. At 0.16 position, DOGE trades dangerously close to the lower band at $0.17, historically a strong bounce zone for the meme coin. This technical setup has previously triggered 15-25% rallies within 2-3 weeks.
Volume analysis shows $149.9 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, indicating sufficient liquidity for a meaningful price move. The 2.67% daily gain suggests early signs of buying interest at these depressed levels.
Our primary DOGE price prediction scenario targets a recovery to $0.21-$0.25 by December 2025. This Dogecoin forecast relies on several technical triggers:
First, a break above the immediate resistance at $0.20 (SMA 7) would activate short-term buying momentum toward $0.23 (SMA 20). Successfully reclaiming the 20-period moving average historically signals the end of Dogecoin’s corrective phases.
The ultimate DOGE price target of $0.25-$0.27 aligns with the middle-to-upper Bollinger Band range, representing a 30-40% upside from current levels. This target gains credibility from the 52-week high at $0.29, suggesting overhead resistance remains manageable.
The alternative scenario in our DOGE price prediction warns of potential downside to $0.15-$0.17 if current support fails. A break below the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $0.17 could trigger algorithmic selling, pushing Dogecoin toward the strong support zone at $0.10.
Key risk factors include continued MACD divergence, failure to reclaim the $0.20 level within the next week, and broader cryptocurrency market weakness that could override Dogecoin’s individual technical setup.
Based on our Dogecoin technical analysis, the current risk-reward profile favors accumulation for traders asking “buy or sell DOGE.” The optimal entry strategy involves:
Primary Entry Zone: $0.18-$0.19 (current levels) with a stop-loss at $0.16, targeting initial profits at $0.21-$0.22. This setup offers a 2:1 risk-reward ratio supporting our DOGE price prediction.
Conservative Approach: Wait for a bounce confirmation above $0.205 before entering, accepting slightly higher entry costs for reduced downside risk.
Aggressive Strategy: Scale into positions between $0.17-$0.19, utilizing the Bollinger Band support for maximum potential gains if our bullish Dogecoin forecast materializes.
Position sizing should remain conservative at 2-3% of portfolio allocation, given the medium confidence level in current market conditions.
Our comprehensive analysis supports a cautiously optimistic DOGE price prediction targeting $0.21-$0.25 by year-end 2025. The convergence of oversold technical conditions, analyst forecast consensus around $0.20+, and historical support levels creates a favorable setup for patient investors.
Confidence Level: Medium (65%) – Technical indicators support the bullish case, but broader market conditions remain uncertain.
Key Monitoring Points: Watch for RSI to break above 40, MACD histogram turning positive, and sustained trading above $0.20 to confirm our Dogecoin forecast. Failure to hold $0.17 would invalidate the bullish scenario and trigger reassessment of downside targets.
The timeline for this DOGE price prediction extends through Q4 2025, with initial confirmation signals expected within 7-14 days of current price action.
Image source: Shutterstock
Dogecoin trades near $0.18 after a 29% weekly drop. Analysts track repeating cycles that could push price to $5–$7 if trends hold.
Dogecoin is trading around $0.18 after dropping more than 29% over the past week. The asset is down by 9% in the past day alone.
Despite the decline, some analysts point to long-term price patterns that may repeat. If the structure follows past cycles, a sharp move higher could follow.
The chart from Bitcoinsensus shows three repeating cycles in Dogecoin’s history. Each starts with a large drop, followed by a long sideways phase, and then a strong rally.
$DOGE MONTHLY MACRO CYCLES 📐📈
Could 7$ be next in this cycle?
Looking at previous price history on #Dogecoin, it has always followed the same market structure, finishing with a massive move at the end of the cycle. 💥
If we were to repeat the same playbook, Doge could see… pic.twitter.com/eWlrPhKHvV
— Bitcoinsensus (@Bitcoinsensus) October 16, 2025
Cycle 1 raised the profit to over 5,800% at its close. Cycle 2’s growth was even bigger, as it exceeded 21,000% and hit $0.74 in 2021. Indications of Cycle 3 are visible already. Assuming the same scenario occurs again, the price may then go for $5 to $7. Up until now, the setup remains legitimate (even though unlikely), but a breakthrough has not occurred.
A chart shared by Trader Tardigrade shows Dogecoin on a weekly view. It highlights a long lower wick, similar to those seen before earlier rallies.
The chart uses a wave structure, suggesting that DOGE may be nearing the end of a correction. If true, the next move could form wave five, leading to higher prices. The projected path shows a rise toward $1.50. For that to happen, the asset must stay above key support levels and push past resistance.
Another post from Trader Tardigrade shows Dogecoin in three stages: consolidation, slow trend, and parabolic move. The current phase is labeled as parabolic, based on rising lows and stronger price movement.
If the path holds, the chart points to a possible rise above $1. This move depends on continued strength and steady buying over time. The setup builds on the price history seen in earlier cycles.
This week, Dogecoin has come out as the biggest loser among the top 20 cryptocurrencies. Its current price is approximately $0.18, accompanied by a 24-hour trading volume surpassing $3.6 billion.
However, the launch of House of Doge through a Nasdaq merger also adds to its longer-term presence in the market. Currently, traders are monitoring crucial points to determine if the formation will lead to a robust rise in price.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) continues to expand its digital footprint in real-world transactions as the cryptocurrency prepares to enter the mainstream sectors of dining and hospitality. In a groundbreaking move, House of Doge, the corporate arm of the Dogecoin Foundation, has partnered with a leading hospitality payments platform to enable DOGE payments across thousands of restaurants. This initiative represents a significant step toward establishing Dogecoin as a practical payment option for everyday consumers while also generating new revenue streams for the ecosystem.
According to a press release on Tuesday, House of Doge has signed a letter of intent with inKind, a nationwide hospitality payments and rewards platform with over 3 million app users. The partnership will make Dogecoin the first cryptocurrency accepted across InKind’s large-scale restaurant network.
Once implemented, Dogecoin holders will be able to use the inKind app to pay for dining, drinks, and hospitality experiences at more than 4,750 restaurants, cafes, bars, and nightclubs across the United States. This collaboration marks a major milestone in both cryptocurrency and meme coin adoption, giving DOGE tangible utility for daily transactions as it integrates seamlessly into an established hospitality ecosystem for everyday users.
The integration is supported by the recent merger of Brag House Holdings, Inc. and House of Doge, which provides the operational and technological infrastructure needed to make DOGE payments possible at scale. According to Marco Margiotta, CEO of House of Doge, the partnership not only enables Dogecoin to enter the $1.5 trillion US hospitality market but also provides the meme coin’s community with real, everyday utility for their holdings.
InKind’s platform, known for connecting restaurants with loyal patrons through prepaid dining credit and rewards, will reportedly offer additional incentives for crypto enthusiasts to adopt Dogecoin for real-world use. The partnership is also expected to create potential recurring revenue through merchant processing fees. By enabling DOGE payments in such a wide-reaching network, House of Doge aims to strengthen the currency’s practical relevance while encouraging more users to engage with the digital asset.
In addition to expanding payments, House of Doge is advancing Dogecoin adoption on a global scale through its upcoming NASDAQ listing via a recent merger with Brag House Holdings. Analysts report that the strategic move provides the merged entity with $50 million in capital to develop further real-world DOGE payment infrastructure across restaurants, gaming, and entertainment.
It also positions DOGE within a structured financial ecosystem supported by institutional expertise, data insights, licensing, and treasury management, including 837 million DOGE (approximately $159 million at current levels) in custody. The NASDAQ listing would signify a pivotal moment for Dogecoin, blending grassroots meme coin energy with institutional innovation. The merger also equips House of Doge with tools to scale Dogecoin adoption globally, driving both liquidity and utility in various sectors.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
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