Bitcoin and altcoins saw strong double-digit price rebounds after this week’s brutal sell-off, but do technical charts forecast a longer-term recovery, or is today’s rally just a dead cat bounce?
The crypto market is entering a high-stakes period in early 2026. While established coins face big tests, a new powerhouse is rewriting the record books. Investors are currently tracking Cardano price for a major move, while world events help Solana price stay steady at a time of growing institutional interest
Then there is Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP), a project that is making its mark as the potential next big crypto of the decade. With analysts predicting it will raise more than $1.7 billion from its presale auctions, the market interest levels are mirroring those of early Bitcoin days.
Experts are already projecting a staggering 1000x ROI for those who secure a position before the presale auctions conclude.
Cardano started 2026 with a surge of energy, but it has hit a familiar ceiling. The ADA price is currently hovering near the $0.41 mark, a level that has acted like a lid on a boiling pot for weeks. Fluctuations in the Cardano price suggest that the market is reaching a crossroads in terms of what might happen next.

Solana continues to prove why it is popular among big players. Recent reports confirm that its spot ETFs have officially crossed $1 billion in total assets, a feat only achieved by a handful of other coins. The Solana price is currently attempting to move above the descending channel that has connected the highest swings since late 2025.


While other coins face resistance, Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) is moving at a completely different speed. Built on a massive $100 million self-funded infrastructure, this project is skipping the roadmap hype and going straight to execution. Unlike the relatively slow-moving Cardano price, Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) is attracting aggressive capital from those who missed out on the early Solana gains.
The Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) auction system is designed for maximum fairness and explosive growth. Unlike typical presales, Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) uses a transparent model that ensures all participants receive a fair, market-driven price. Analysts predict this structure could allow ZKP to raise more than $1.7 billion through its presale auctions.


The 2026 market presents different opportunities. Solana is solidifying its place with billion-dollar ETFs and a surging Solana price. Meanwhile, the stabilizing Cardano price suggests ADA is fighting for a breakout that could signal a new bull run. However, the most explosive opportunity remains in the Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) presale auctions.
As analysts’ predictions of a $1.7B+ raise gain attention, demand is surging, and the window to get in and score 1000x gains is getting smaller every day. For those hunting for the leading crypto to buy now, the daily 200 million presale auctions represent the final chance to join ZKP before global exchange listings change the price forever.


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Cardano (ADA) saw a modest rebound on Wednesday, climbing 2.2% to $0.70, driven by renewed buying from large holders. On-chain data reveals that whale and mid-tier wallets snapped up roughly 200 million ADA, equivalent to around $140 million, over the past 48 hours. This accumulation followed last week’s market volatility, which briefly pushed ADA toward its swing lows.
Analysts note that such buying activity is often a precursor to stronger price stability, as whales typically acquire tokens during periods of market weakness. The accumulation signals confidence in the longer-term prospects of Cardano, particularly with major upcoming events like the Berlin Summit in focus.
Address cohort tracking indicates renewed accumulation across various wallet sizes. Wallets holding 10–100 million ADA as well as those with over 1 billion ADA have increased their balances. Simultaneously, network “spent coin” metrics have fallen by 51%, reflecting a slowdown in selling pressure.
From a technical standpoint, ADA is defending the $0.70–$0.80 zone, a critical support band many traders consider pivotal for maintaining a recovery base. A sustained hold in this range could allow ADA to attempt previous resistance levels, giving bulls room to regain control and reassert momentum.
Adding to bullish sentiment, eToro recently launched ADA staking in the U.S., potentially unlocking rewards access for over 40 million users. The introduction of staking reduces liquid supply, as holders are incentivized to lock up their tokens, effectively tightening market supply.
Additionally, the Berlin Summit, scheduled for Nov. 12–13, 2025, is providing an important narrative tailwind. Ecosystem teams are expected to showcase progress across key projects such as Midnight, Leios, and dApp development, which historically boosts investor confidence and developer visibility.
Strategists argue that these factors, combined with bargain hunting from whales, could help stabilize spot liquidity after the recent market shakeout. The convergence of technical and fundamental catalysts makes the coming weeks a critical period for ADA holders.
Cardano rebounded from its $0.61 swing low, attempting to reclaim short-term bullish signals. Analysts highlight that a clean move above $0.73, corresponding to the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, is the first major hurdle for bulls.
Beyond this, $0.86 remains a key resistance level, having capped previous rallies. A successful break above $0.86 could open the door to higher targets at $1.01 and $1.12, aligning with an ascending-channel upper bound on longer-term charts.
Conversely, if ADA fails to hold $0.61, the risk of a deeper decline toward $0.50–$0.60 increases, potentially delaying any broader trend resumption. Maintaining this support is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on Q4 recovery opportunities.
Overall, Cardano’s price action, coupled with whale accumulation and staking incentives, suggests a bullish setup for Q4 2025. The Berlin Summit adds a significant narrative tailwind, potentially attracting renewed investor interest.
However, traders should remain cautious and monitor the $0.61 support level closely. A decisive daily close below this point could indicate prolonged consolidation or further downside pressure. Conversely, reclaiming $0.73 and $0.86 could confirm a broader recovery leg, setting the stage for renewed upward momentum in the Cardano market.
For investors and traders, the current market conditions present a strategic window to evaluate positions, watch for trend confirmations, and assess liquidity changes driven by both whale behavior and staking incentives.
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Cardano (ADA) fell roughly 27% this week, slipping below the $0.66 support as risk-off flows hit crypto. Bitcoin’s slide toward $104,000 and softer altcoin liquidity magnified downside, and on-chain data shows large holders leaning defensive.
Santiment-tracked wallets holding 1–10 million ADA offloaded about 40 million ADA over seven days, while broader whale distribution reportedly reached 350 million ADA, pressuring price. other big wallets accumulated 140–200 million ADA, creating a split tape that’s fueling choppy consolidation between $0.65–$0.70.
Derivatives add to the cautious tone. Cardano’s open interest slipped 2.12% to $669.9 million, and long liquidations ($1.13 million) dwarfed shorts ($187,000), signaling bulls bore the brunt of the latest flush.
On the 4-hour chart, ADA is carving a falling wedge, but confirmation requires a breakout above $0.74. Until then, momentum indicators remain mixed: RSI 37 (approaching oversold) while CMF 0.12–0.15 hints at returning spot inflows that have yet to overpower supply from large holders.
Technicians flag a “risk-first” path: losing $0.66 puts $0.65 in play; failure there opens $0.62–$0.60, then $0.57 (channel/structure confluence). A deeper shakeout could probe $0.53 if broader crypto weakness persists.
On the upside, ADA must reclaim $0.66 and then clear $0.74–$0.80 (50-day EMA cluster) to flip trend strength. Above that range, bulls target $0.86, with a psychological $1.00 retest feasible into Q4 if risk appetite and flows improve.
Several analysts still eye a path toward $1.20–$1.60 on a confirmed breakout, but most caution the market may dip before it rips given leverage resets and uneven liquidity.
ETF headlines (including the Oct. 23 Grayscale ADA ETF decision window), stablecoin and ETF net flows, and whether whale selling cools. A rotation back into altcoins typically follows BTC stabilization; conversely, renewed BTC downside would likely extend ADA’s consolidation near the lows.
ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview
Beyond price, Cardano’s community treasury has surpassed 1.6 billion ADA ($1 billion), funded by fees and staking rewards and governed via Project Catalyst, a war chest that supports tooling, DeFi, and infrastructure without VC overhang.
New staking access (e.g., eToro U.S.) and ongoing initiatives like Midnight and Leios continue to broaden the roadmap, even as TVL ($288 million) lags larger chains.
Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD on Tradingview
Bitcoin BTC$106,803.77 slid under $107,000 in Friday’s Asian session, extending a slow drift lower as macro uncertainty and liquidity stress kept traders cautious across crypto markets.
“The rebound on Sunday and Monday did not develop, and the 50-day moving average acted as local resistance,” noted Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro chief market analyst, in an email. “The market is again testing the strength of 3-month support near current levels. Such persistence from the bears suggests that the next stage will be a test of the 200-day average, which passes through $3.5 trillion.”
“The market broke above this line in May; touching it at the end of July triggered strong buying,” Kuptsikevich said, giving cues on levels to monitor.
The market’s recovery from last week’s liquidation shock appears to have fizzled out, with a bounce earlier in the week getting reversed and major tokens drifting lower each day.
Ether ETH$3,821.57 traded around $3,895, while BNB, Solana, and XRP were down between 5% and 7% — each giving back most of their post-crash bounce. DOGE$0.1823 and Cardano’s ADA are down over 20% week-to-date amid a lack of speculative fervor.
The tone in risk markets soured overnight as traders rotated back to stablecoins, avoiding bitcoin and smaller tokens ahead of key Federal Reserve and geopolitical catalysts.
“Altcoins are under pressure as liquidity continues to rotate back into Bitcoin and stablecoins amid risk-off sentiment,” said Wenny C., COO at SynFutures, in a message to CoinDesk, adding that thinner order books have amplified volatility across secondary markets.
Despite the red screens, analysts say the pullback looks more like a controlled deleveraging than panic. Exchange open interest has dropped to midyear lows, and ETF inflows remain steady, suggesting that long-term capital is sitting tight.
“This latest dip reflects declining speculative appetite after last week’s macro data,” said Wenny, noting that “nothing structural has really changed.”
Nassar Achkar, chief strategy officer at CoinW, said leverage flushes tend to set up cleaner bases.
“Resilient ETF inflows and whale accumulation are stabilizing markets. The path to a sustained rebound will depend on how quickly this underlying capital converts into fresh risk-taking,” Achkar told CoinDesk.
The focus now shifts to the Federal Reserve’s October FOMC meeting, where traders will look for strong dovish talk after Chair Jerome Powell hinted last week that quantitative tightening could soon end.
Futures imply a 65% chance of a 25-basis-point cut, which would extend risk support into year-end if confirmed.
Outside crypto, gold briefly hit a fresh record before retreating, while the yen strengthened on haven bids after renewed trade jitters between the U.S. and China. The standoff has injected volatility across commodities and equities, dragging Asian stocks to their lowest level in two weeks.
Still, some see opportunity in the turbulence. Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes called the drawdown a “buying window,” while K33 Research said reduced leverage leaves “room for spot BTC positions to rebuild.”
The current reset mirrors past cycle pauses, where leverage bled out before new capital rotated back in. Whether that rotation comes before or after the next Fed signal will likely define the rest of October.
Iris Coleman
Oct 16, 2025 04:56
Cardano shows potential for 13% upside to $0.76 target despite bearish momentum, with critical $0.60 support level determining ADA’s next major move.
• ADA short-term target (1 week): $0.72 (+7.5%)
• Cardano medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.65-$0.76 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.78 (SMA 20)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.60 (psychological level)
The latest ADA price prediction landscape reveals a notable divergence between short-term bearish sentiment and longer-term bullish optimism. Changelly’s forecast of $0.711 and CoinCodex’s $0.727 target both suggest modest upside from current levels around $0.67, while 30rates.com takes a more pessimistic stance with a $0.6346 prediction.
However, the most compelling Cardano forecast comes from InvestingHaven’s ambitious $1.88 long-term target, representing nearly 180% upside potential. This prediction hinges on a giant bullish W-reversal pattern that could fundamentally shift ADA’s trajectory. The AI-driven Price Forecast Bot’s $0.76584 target aligns closely with our technical analysis, suggesting this level represents a key resistance zone where multiple analytical approaches converge.
The market consensus indicates short-term headwinds but medium-term recovery potential, creating an interesting setup for tactical traders and long-term investors alike.
Current Cardano technical analysis reveals ADA trading in a compressed range with mixed signals pointing toward an impending directional move. At $0.67, ADA sits precariously below all major moving averages, with the SMA 20 at $0.78 acting as immediate resistance and the SMA 200 at $0.74 providing dynamic overhead pressure.
The RSI reading of 37.08 suggests ADA has moved into oversold territory without reaching extreme levels, indicating potential for a relief bounce. However, the MACD histogram’s -0.0131 reading confirms bearish momentum remains intact, though the convergence between MACD (-0.0448) and signal line (-0.0318) suggests this momentum may be weakening.
Perhaps most telling is ADA’s position within the Bollinger Bands, with a %B reading of 0.1631 placing Cardano near the lower band at $0.62. This positioning historically precedes either a bounce toward the middle band ($0.78) or a breakdown below support. The daily ATR of $0.07 indicates moderate volatility, providing sufficient room for meaningful moves in either direction.
Volume analysis from Binance shows $104 million in 24-hour trading, which represents healthy liquidity but lacks the surge typically seen during significant breakouts.
The primary ADA price target in a bullish scenario centers around $0.76-$0.78, representing the convergence of the AI prediction model and the SMA 20 resistance level. This target offers approximately 13-16% upside and aligns with the Price Forecast Bot’s technical analysis.
For this bullish Cardano forecast to materialize, ADA must first reclaim the $0.70 level and demonstrate sustained buying pressure above the current pivot point of $0.68. A decisive break above $0.78 would open the door to testing the SMA 50 at $0.82, with further upside toward the $0.89 immediate resistance level.
The longer-term bullish case supporting InvestingHaven’s $1.88 ADA price prediction requires a fundamental shift in market structure, likely coinciding with broader cryptocurrency market recovery and increased adoption of Cardano’s smart contract ecosystem.
The bearish scenario for ADA centers around a breakdown below the critical $0.60 support level, which could trigger selling toward 30rates.com’s $0.6346 target or potentially lower toward the strong support at $0.27. This outcome becomes more likely if Bitcoin experiences significant weakness or if Cardano-specific negative catalysts emerge.
Key risk factors include sustained trading below the lower Bollinger Band at $0.62, RSI breakdown below 30, and MACD histogram expansion to the downside. A breach of $0.60 would invalidate the near-term bullish thesis and potentially lead to a retest of the 52-week low at $0.54.
The current technical setup suggests a measured approach to ADA accumulation rather than aggressive buying. For those considering whether to buy or sell ADA, the optimal entry strategy involves scaling into positions near current levels ($0.67) with additional purchases planned around $0.62-$0.64 if the lower Bollinger Band provides support.
Risk management becomes crucial at these levels, with a stop-loss below $0.60 limiting downside exposure to approximately 10%. Position sizing should remain conservative given the mixed technical signals, with no more than 2-3% of portfolio allocation until clearer directional momentum emerges.
For traders seeking quick profits, waiting for a break above $0.70 with volume confirmation offers a more favorable risk-reward setup targeting the $0.76 resistance zone.
Our comprehensive ADA price prediction points toward a 13% upside target of $0.76 over the next 3-4 weeks, though this forecast carries medium confidence given the conflicting technical indicators. The convergence of multiple analytical approaches around this level, combined with oversold RSI conditions, supports this Cardano forecast.
Key indicators to monitor for prediction confirmation include RSI recovery above 40, MACD histogram flattening, and sustained trading above the $0.68 pivot point. Invalidation signals would include a decisive break below $0.60 with increasing volume.
The timeline for this ADA price target extends through mid-November, with interim resistance at $0.72 likely providing the first test of buying conviction. While longer-term predictions toward $1.88 remain speculative, the immediate technical setup favors patient accumulation near current levels for those maintaining a bullish Cardano outlook.
Image source: Shutterstock